What Seed Is Michigan In The NCAA Tournament? Odds of Michigan Basketball’s Seed For 2025 NCAA Tournament

Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

The first season of the Dusty May era in Ann Arbor has led to an enormous turnaround, with a return to the NCAA Tournament certainly ahead.

The men’s Michigan Wolverines basketball team sits atop the Big Ten at 12-2, half a game ahead of the team’s rivals from East Lansing and 1.5 games ahead of the Wisconsin Badgers.

BetMichigan.com broke down the odds on where the Wolverines will be seeded come Selection Sunday, with a second seed looking like the most likely landing spot come mid March.

What Seed Will Michigan Be In NCAA Tournament?

Seed

Percentage Chance

Odds

1 Seed

+775

11.4%

2 Seed

+165

37.8%

3 Seed

+290

25.6%

4 Seed

+650

13.3%

5 Seed

+1375

6.8%

6 Seed

+3125

3.1%

The Field

+4850

2.0%

These odds are provided by BetMichigan.com, where real money Michigan sportsbook promo codes are available any time.

The Wolverines have earned six straight conference victories, including a 75-73 home win over Purdue on Feb. 11. The other five wins were against unranked opponents, the latest on Sunday when UM won 86-83 at rival Ohio State. Michigan has already improved by 12 wins from last season's 8-24 campaign that ended Juwan Howard's tenure as coach in Ann Arbor.

May and company square off against their Great Lakes State rivals on Friday, when Michigan hosts Michigan State in Ann Arbor (8 p.m., Fox). The Wolverines look to cement their status as the top team in the basketball crazed Big Ten, with UM currently listed as the betting favorite to do just that on DraftKings Michigan Sportsbook, at -135.

Michigan Wolverines NCAA Tournament Seed Scenarios

Right now, we judge the No. 2 seed line as the most likely scenario for Michigan on Selection Sunday, March 16, at +165 odds. We have +290 odds on having the Wolverines fall to the third seed line when the field is announced for the 68-team NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

More unlikely scenarios are that Michigan falls to the fourth seed line (+650) or rises to a No. 1 seed with +775 odds. That would translate to an 11.4% implied probability if it were offered at Michigan sports betting sites.

We give +3125 odds that UM drops down to the sixth seed line come Selection Sunday. That seems very unlikely, given the way that May’s players are playing against the heart of the Big Ten’s men’s basketball landscape.

For reference, ESPN’s Joe Lunardi has UM as a fourth seed in the Midwest Region in his most recent mock bracket. His prediction as of Feb. 18 is that the Wolverines would face 13th seed High Point in Providence in the Round of 64, potentially setting up a second-round clash against either fifth-seeded Missouri or No. 12 Yale.

Caesars Michigan Sportsbook rates Michigan at +5000 odds to win the second national title in program history.

USA Today photo by Marc Lebryk

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Author

Christopher Boan

Christopher Boan is a staff writer for BetMichigan.com. He has covered sports and sports betting for more than seven years and has worked for publications such as ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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