How Pistons Do Vs. Betting Preseason Win Total

How Pistons Do Vs. Betting Preseason Win Total
Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

With the new NBA season almost here, fans of the Detroit Pistons are hoping their basketball team can rebound in a big way. So will their backers at Michigan sports betting sites.

As a way to analyze Pistons prospects, BetMichigan.com looked at the win-total bookmakers have set for the team for each seasons since 2010-11. Currently, the books have Detroit’s season long over/under set at 28.5. To hit the over, they’d have to win 29 games — or 12 more than last year. We wanted to find out how accurate Detroit’s win totals lines have been in recent history:

Pistons Over-Under Win Totals Since 2010-11

Season Preseason Win Total Final Record/Result
2010-11 30.5 30-52; Under
2011-12 21.5 25-41; Over
2012-13 32.5 29-53; Under
2013-14 40.5 29-53; Under
2014-15 36 32-50; Under
2015-16 36.5 44-38; Over
2016-17 44.5 37-45; Under
2017-18 38.5 39-43; Over
2018-19 38.5 41-41; Over
2020-21 23.5 20-52; Under
2021-22 24.5 23-59; Under
2022-23 29.5 17-65; Under

Pistons Start Season Under New Coach

The Pistons finished the 2022-23 campaign with a league-worst 17-65 record. Unsurprisingly, head coach Dwane Casey was fired and the Pistons replaced him with Monty Williams on June 2. The Phoenix Suns let Williams go after last season, but during his tenure there he led the Suns to the NBA finals in 2021, and was named coach of the year in 2022 after winning 64 games.

That is the kind of turnaround Pistons fans are hoping for. But how many games can the team realistically win this season?

BetMichigan.com, where the best Michigan sportsbook promos can be found, went to SportsOddsHistory.com and looked at how the Pistons’ final season record compared to their preseason win total betting lines, dating back to the 2010-11. Note that we did not include the results from the 2019-20 season, which was shortened because of restrictions related to the COVID-19 pandemic. We did include results from the 2011-12 lockout shortened season.

Bettors Not Profiting On Pistons Over

As the chart makes clear, the Detroit Pistons have been among the NBA’s worst teams for over a decade. That span includes just two playoff appearances in 2015-16 and 2018-19 — both first-round exits. The situation is especially dire for bettors at Michigan sports betting apps who have backed the over on the Pistons win total in the past few years. During the 12-season stretch we looked at, Detroit only went over its preseason total four times (or 33.3%).

During this span, the Pistons have also only managed to have a single a winning record once, during the 2015-16 season when Andre Drummond averaged 16.2 PPG and led the league in total rebounds. Detroit’s second best season — 41-41 in 2018-19 — also saw the versatile center Drummond lead the league in rebounds.

When Drummond was sent to the Cleveland Cavaliers in February of 2020, it signaled the start of a long-overdue rebuild that is still unfolding today. Whether or not the Pistons can surpass their over/under for season wins – set at with 28.5 with Caesars Michigan Sportsbook – during the 2023-24 season remains to be seen.

Michigan Sports Betting Odds For Pistons

A crucial factor this season will be the continued improvement of second year guard Jaden Ivey. The 2022 fifth overall pick averaged 16.3 PPG as a rookie, but managed 22.3 PPG during the final ten games of the season. Piston fans will certainly be hoping that this year’s first round selection, Ausar Thompson — also picked fifth overall — will be an early contributor as well. The highly touted prospect is the twin brother of Amen Thompson, who was drafted one spot earlier than Ausar by the Houston Rockets.

But whether or not the Pistons do improve this year, BetMichigan.com will be here with the latest news and betting analysis throughout the NBA season, as well as Michigan online casinos updates.

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Author

Jeff Parker

Jeff Parker is an entertainment and sports writer for BetMichigan.com. A writer for film, television and the internet, Jeff is a life long movie buff, with a Masters Degree in Popular Culture. He lives in Halifax, Nova Scotia, where he works full time as documentary filmmaker and producer.

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